Crypto+4.2%
Will Bitcoin close above $150,000 this year?
Resolves YES if the BTC/USD daily close on Dec 31 is above $150,000.
Chance38%
- Volume
- $48.20M Vol.
- Liquidity
- $3.14M Liq.
- Ends
- Ends Dec 31
Prediction Markets
Every question is priced between 0¢ and 100¢ — the price is the market's implied probability. $340.60M traded across 9 open markets.
Crypto-2.7%
Will spot ETH ETFs be approved for staking?
Resolves YES on an SEC order permitting staking inside a US spot ether ETF.
Chance71%
- Volume
- $12.90M Vol.
- Liquidity
- $880.0K Liq.
- Ends
- Ends Sep 30
Crypto+11.4%
Will Robinhood Chain open public mainnet before Q4?
Resolves YES when permissionless mainnet RPC is live for external developers.
Chance56%
- Volume
- $6.40M Vol.
- Liquidity
- $512.0K Liq.
- Ends
- Ends Oct 1
Economics+6.9%
Will the Fed cut rates at the next meeting?
Resolves YES if the FOMC lowers the target range at its next scheduled meeting.
Chance64%
- Volume
- $88.70M Vol.
- Liquidity
- $5.90M Liq.
- Ends
- Ends Next FOMC
Economics-1.1%
US recession declared this year?
Resolves per the NBER business cycle dating committee announcement.
Chance17%
- Volume
- $21.30M Vol.
- Liquidity
- $1.24M Liq.
- Ends
- Ends Dec 31
Tech+3.4%
Will a new frontier model top the LMArena leaderboard?
Resolves YES if a model released this quarter reaches #1 on the public arena.
Chance49%
- Volume
- $9.80M Vol.
- Liquidity
- $640.0K Liq.
- Ends
- Ends Quarter end
Politics+0.8%
Will turnout exceed the previous cycle?
Resolves against certified national turnout figures.
Chance42%
- Volume
- $132.50M Vol.
- Liquidity
- $8.40M Liq.
- Ends
- Ends Election night
Sports-4.6%
Will the favourite win the final?
Resolves on the official result including extra time and penalties.
Chance55%
- Volume
- $17.60M Vol.
- Liquidity
- $1.02M Liq.
- Ends
- Ends Final day
Culture+2.2%
Will the surprise album debut at number one?
Resolves against the official weekly chart on release week.
Chance73%
- Volume
- $3.20M Vol.
- Liquidity
- $210.0K Liq.
- Ends
- Ends Release week